Live prediction market odds for CO-06 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-11-03
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the CO-06 House race. This election will determine representation in Congress, influencing key legislative agendas and party dynamics.
Democratic Party leads the “CO-06 House winner” event at 95.4% implied probability, followed by Republican Party at 4.8%. A 1.8% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Key factors include candidate popularity, campaign funding, and voter turnout. Additionally, national trends and local issues can sway public opinion leading up to the election.
The election is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This timing aligns with the general election date for federal offices in the United States.
Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of election outcomes. Prices reflect the collective sentiment and can change rapidly as new information becomes available.
CO-06 House winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Democratic Party leads at 95% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Republican Party at 5%.
Democratic Party currently leads at 95% implied probability. Behind Democratic Party, Republican Party at 5% are the next closest contenders. A 1.8% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
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As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
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Democratic Party
95.4% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for CO-06 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
