Live prediction market odds for CO-07 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-11-03
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the CO-07 House race in the upcoming 2026 elections. This contest is pivotal as it could influence the balance of power in Congress, making it a key focus for both parties involved.
Democratic Party leads the “CO-07 House winner” event at 28.5% implied probability, followed by Republican Party at 6.8%. A 40.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Odds are shaped by candidate popularity, fundraising efforts, and polling data. Local issues and voter turnout also play critical roles in determining the outcome.
The outcome could shift the majority in the House of Representatives, affecting legislative priorities. This race is particularly important in a closely divided Congress.
The election for the CO-07 House seat is set for November 3, 2026. This timing aligns with the general election, which includes various federal and state races.
CO-07 House winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Democratic Party leads at 29% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Republican Party at 7%.
Democratic Party currently leads at 29% implied probability. Behind Democratic Party, Republican Party at 7% are the next closest contenders. The 40.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
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Democratic Party
28.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for CO-07 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
