Live prediction market odds for CO-08 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and PredictIt.
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Kalshi / Polymarket / PredictIt
2026-11-04
Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt are tracking the winner of the CO-08 House race. This election is pivotal as it could influence the balance of power in Congress and impact key legislative agendas.
Democratic Party leads the “CO-08 House winner” event at 71.3% implied probability, followed by Republican Party at 32.2%. A 4.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Key factors include candidate popularity, fundraising efforts, and voter turnout. Additionally, local issues and national trends can sway public opinion leading up to the election.
Prediction markets aggregate bets from participants, reflecting their expectations based on current events and polling data. As new information emerges, such as debates or endorsements, odds can fluctuate significantly.
The CO-08 House race is crucial for both parties as it could determine control of the House of Representatives. Winning this seat may also affect future legislative priorities and party strategies.
CO-08 House winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt). Democratic Party leads at 71% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Republican Party at 32%.
Democratic Party currently leads at 71% implied probability. Behind Democratic Party, Republican Party at 32% are the next closest contenders. The 4.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
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Democratic Party
71.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for CO-8 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of Republican, then the market resolves to Yes.
