Question 1

What factors influence the odds for the Naismith Player of the Year?

Accepted Answer

Player statistics, team performance, and media coverage are key factors. Additionally, injuries and postseason play can significantly impact a player's chances.

Question 2

When is the Naismith Player of the Year awarded?

Accepted Answer

The Naismith Player of the Year is typically awarded at the end of the college basketball season, around early April. This timing allows for the evaluation of players' performances throughout the season.

Question 3

How do prediction markets work for sports awards?

Accepted Answer

Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of outcomes. Prices reflect the collective sentiment and probabilities of various candidates winning the award.

Question 4

What is "College Basketball Naismith Player of the Year" and why does it matter?

Accepted Answer

College Basketball Naismith Player of the Year is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Bennett Stirtz leads at 25% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Braden Smith at 25%, Caleb Wilson at 25%, Darryn Peterson at 25%.

Question 5

What is moving the odds on "College Basketball Naismith Player of the Year"?

Accepted Answer

Bennett Stirtz currently leads at 25% implied probability. Behind Bennett Stirtz, Braden Smith at 25% and Caleb Wilson at 25% and Darryn Peterson at 25% are the next closest contenders. The 49.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

Question 6

What are the current odds for "College Basketball Naismith Player of the Year" across platforms?

Accepted Answer

Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Bennett Stirtz: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Braden Smith: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Caleb Wilson: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Darryn Peterson: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. The 49.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

Question 7

What does it mean that Bennett Stirtz is at 25%?

Accepted Answer

A price of 25¢ means the market estimates a 25% probability that Bennett Stirtz will be the outcome. Buying one share at 25¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 300% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.

College Basketball Naismith Player of the Year

About This Market

Price History

Live Markets

Frequently Asked Questions

Smart Trade Router

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: College Basketball Naismith Player of the Year

Platform	Implied %	Yes — Bid / Ask		No — Bid / Ask
Kalshi	0.5%	0¢	1¢	99¢	100¢
Polymarket	50.0%	50¢	50¢	50¢	50¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes — Bid / Ask		No — Bid / Ask
Kalshi	0.5%	0¢	1¢	99¢	100¢
Polymarket	50.0%	50¢	50¢	50¢	50¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes — Bid / Ask		No — Bid / Ask
Kalshi	0.5%	0¢	1¢	99¢	100¢
Polymarket	50.0%	50¢	50¢	50¢	50¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes — Bid / Ask		No — Bid / Ask
Kalshi	0.5%	0¢	1¢	99¢	100¢
Polymarket	50.0%	50¢	50¢	50¢	50¢