Live prediction market odds for College Basketball Naismith Player of the Year. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-04-01
This market resolved on 2026-04-01. Cameron Boozer was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 98%.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the College Basketball Naismith Player of the Year award for 2026. As the college basketball season progresses, player performances, team success, and media narratives will heavily influence the odds for this prestigious accolade.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Cameron BoozerWINNER | 98% | 99% |
AJ Dybantsa | 1% | 50% |
Bennett Stirtz | 1% | 50% |
Braden Smith |
Prediction Market Track Record
Player statistics, team performance, and media coverage are key factors. Additionally, injuries and postseason play can significantly impact a player's chances.
The Naismith Player of the Year is typically awarded at the end of the college basketball season, around early April. This timing allows for the evaluation of players' performances throughout the season.
Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of outcomes. Prices reflect the collective sentiment and probabilities of various candidates winning the award.
College Basketball Naismith Player of the Year was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Cameron Boozer led the market at 98% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include AJ Dybantsa at 26%, Bennett Stirtz at 26%, Braden Smith at 26%.
Cameron Boozer held the lead at 98% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Cameron Boozer, AJ Dybantsa at 26% and Bennett Stirtz at 26% and Braden Smith at 26% were the next closest contenders. The 49.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Trey Kaufman-Renn wins the 2025-26 Men's College Basketball Naismith Player of the Year, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketThis market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the Naismith College Player of the Year Award for the 2025-2026 Men’s NCAA division 1 basketball season. If the listed player is not included as a semifinalist or finalist for the Naismith College Player of the Year Award, this market will resolve to “No”. If no winner is announced by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary source of resolution for this market will be official information from the Naismith Awards organizers (https://naismithtrophy.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
| 50% |
Caleb Wilson | 1% | 50% |
Darryn Peterson | 1% | 50% |
JT Toppin | 1% | 50% |
Trey Kaufman-Renn | 1% | 50% |
Yaxel Lendeborg | 2% | 1% |
Cameron Boozer
98.3% avg
