Live prediction market odds for Colorado Governor Election Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-11-03
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Colorado Governor Election Winner for the upcoming election on November 3, 2026. This election will determine the state's leadership and could influence local policies and political dynamics in Colorado.
Democrat leads the “Colorado Governor Election Winner” event at 90.5% implied probability, followed by Republican at 8.2%. A 3.6% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Key factors include candidate popularity, campaign funding, and recent polling data. Additionally, voter turnout and major state issues can significantly impact the election outcome.
Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of election outcomes. Prices reflect the collective belief about the likelihood of various candidates winning.
The election is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This date is set for all statewide elections in the United States, including gubernatorial races.
Colorado Governor Election Winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Democrat leads at 91% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Republican at 8%.
Democrat currently leads at 91% implied probability. Behind Democrat, Republican at 8% are the next closest contenders. The 3.6% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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Democrat
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Colorado pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Colorado gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
90.5% avg
