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ARBITRAGE_ACTIVE // SPREAD: 21.5% // +$2150.00

Live prediction market odds for Colorado Republican Governor nominee?. Compare prices across Kalshi and PredictIt.

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Kalshi / PredictIt

Colorado Republican Governor nominee?

2026-06-30

About This Market

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Kalshi and PredictIt are tracking the Colorado Republican Governor nominee for the upcoming election. The outcome will influence the party's strategy and voter engagement in a key state, impacting national political dynamics.

Barbara Kirkmeyer leads the “Colorado Republican Governor nominee” event at 59.3% implied probability. Other contenders include Mark Baisley (9.1%), and Scott Bottoms (3.0%). A 21.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
BK
Barbara Kirkmeyer
47% Avg
Kalshi49¢
PredictIt74¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
48.5%48¢49¢51¢52¢
PredictItPredictIt
44.5%15¢74¢26¢85¢
MB
Mark BaisleyARB
9% Avg
Kalshi1¢
PredictIt7¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
0.5%0¢1¢99¢100¢
PredictItPredictIt
18.0%29¢7¢93¢71¢
SB
Scott Bottoms
4% Avg
Kalshi6¢
PredictIt5¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
4.5%3¢6¢94¢97¢
PredictItPredictIt
4.0%3¢5¢95¢97¢

Candidate Spotlight

About Barbara Kirkmeyer

Barbara Kirkmeyer is a Republican state senator representing Colorado's 23rd District. She previously served as a Weld County commissioner and ran for Colorado's 8th Congressional District in 2022. She is currently a candidate for the 2026 Colorado gubernatorial election.

About Scott Bottoms

Scott Bottoms is a Republican state representative from Colorado Springs, serving District 15 since 2023. Before his legislative role, he was the lead pastor at the Church at Briargate in Colorado Springs. He is currently running for the Republican nomination for Colorado governor in the 2026 election.

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the Colorado Republican Governor nominee?

Polling data, candidate endorsements, and campaign funding are critical in shaping the odds. Additionally, public sentiment and current political issues in Colorado play a significant role.

When is the election for the Colorado Republican Governor nominee?

The election is scheduled for June 30, 2026. This timeline allows candidates to campaign and gather support leading up to the primary.

How does the nomination process work for the Colorado Republican Governor?

Candidates typically compete in a primary election to secure the nomination. The nominee will then represent the Republican Party in the general election.

What is "Colorado Republican Governor nominee?" and why does it matter?

Colorado Republican Governor nominee is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, PredictIt). Barbara Kirkmeyer leads at 59% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Mark Baisley at 9%, Scott Bottoms at 3%.

What is moving the odds on "Colorado Republican Governor nominee?"?

Barbara Kirkmeyer currently leads at 59% implied probability. Behind Barbara Kirkmeyer, Mark Baisley at 9% and Scott Bottoms at 3% are the next closest contenders. The 21.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Republican Party
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread21.5%
Platforms2
Candidates3
Leader

Barbara Kirkmeyer

59.3% avg

Market Rulebook: Colorado Republican Governor nominee?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Barbara Kirkmeyer wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Colorado Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
Republican Party
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