Live prediction market odds for Colorado Senate winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-11-03
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Colorado Senate winner for the upcoming 2026 election. This race is crucial as it could impact the balance of power in the Senate, influencing legislative priorities and national policies.
Democrat leads the “Colorado Senate winner” event at 91.5% implied probability, followed by Republican at 8.0%. A 5.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Odds are influenced by polling data, candidate fundraising, and public sentiment. Additionally, national political trends and local issues can sway voter preferences.
The outcome of this race could shift the majority in the Senate, impacting legislative agendas. A change in control may lead to significant changes in policy direction on various issues.
The election is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This timeline allows for extensive campaigning and voter mobilization efforts leading up to the vote.
Colorado Senate winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Democrat leads at 92% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Republican at 8%.
Democrat currently leads at 92% implied probability. Behind Democrat, Republican at 8% are the next closest contenders. The 5.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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Democrat
91.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Colorado for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
