Live prediction market odds for Consensys IPO by ___ ?. Compare prices across Polymarket and Predict.fun.
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Polymarket / Predict.fun
2026-07-01
Predict.fun + Polymarket pair (auto-ingested via condition_id cross-ref)
September 30, 2026 leads the “Consensys IPO by ___ ” event at 50.4% implied probability, followed by December 31, 2026 at 49.6%. A 84.3% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Consensys IPO by ___ is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Polymarket, Predict.fun). September 30, 2026 leads at 50% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include December 31, 2026 at 79%.
September 30, 2026 currently leads at 50% implied probability. Behind September 30, 2026, December 31, 2026 at 79% are the next closest contenders. The 84.3% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Polymarket, Predict.fun: September 30, 2026: 93¢ on Polymarket. December 31, 2026: 79¢ on Polymarket. The 84.3% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 50¢ means the market estimates a 50% probability that September 30, 2026 will be the outcome. Buying one share at 50¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 100% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
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September 30, 2026
50.4% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Predict.fun.
Predict.fun{'description': 'This market will resolve to "Yes" if ConsenSys (the parent company of MetaMask) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."\n\nThe IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.\n\nIf ConsenSys is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."\n\nThe resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nCreated At: 2026-03-02T12:57:56.64753725Z'}
