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Live prediction market odds for Critics Choice Awards: Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-04
This market resolved on 2026-01-04. Owen Cooper was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|
Owen CooperWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Michael Peña | 1% | 50% |
Nick Offerman | 1% | 50% |
Ramy Youssef | 1% | 50% |
Wagner Moura | 1% | 50% |
Critics Choice Awards: Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television Winner was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Owen Cooper led the market at 100% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Michael Peña at 26%, Nick Offerman at 26%, Ramy Youssef at 26%.
Owen Cooper held the lead at 100% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Owen Cooper, Michael Peña at 26% and Nick Offerman at 26% and Ramy Youssef at 26% were the next closest contenders. The 49.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Owen Cooper: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Michael Peña: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Nick Offerman: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Ramy Youssef: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. The 49.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 100¢ meant the market estimated a 100% chance that Owen Cooper would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 100¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 0% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Owen Cooper
99.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Wagner Moura has won Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made For Television at the 31st Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
The 31st Critics Choice Awards are expected to be held on January 04, 2026.