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Live prediction market odds for Critics Choice Awards: Best Supporting Actress in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-04
This market resolved on 2026-01-04. Erin Doherty was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|
Erin DohertyWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Betty Gilpin | 1% | 50% |
Christine Tremarco | 1% | 50% |
Julianne Moore | 1% | 50% |
Marin Ireland | 1% | 50% |
Sophia Lillis | 1% | 50% |
Critics Choice Awards: Best Supporting Actress in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television Winner was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Erin Doherty led the market at 100% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Betty Gilpin at 26%, Christine Tremarco at 26%, Julianne Moore at 26%.
Erin Doherty held the lead at 100% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Erin Doherty, Betty Gilpin at 26% and Christine Tremarco at 26% and Julianne Moore at 26% were the next closest contenders. The 49.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Erin Doherty: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Betty Gilpin: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Christine Tremarco: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Julianne Moore: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. The 49.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 100¢ meant the market estimated a 100% chance that Erin Doherty would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 100¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 0% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Erin Doherty
99.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Erin Doherty has won Best Supporting Actress in a Limited Series or Movie made for Television at the 31st Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
The 31st Critics Choice Awards are expected to be held on January 04, 2026.