Live prediction market odds for CT-01 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Join our Discord for breaking news alerts, driven by real-time movements in prediction markets.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-11-03
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the CT-01 House election scheduled for November 3, 2026. This race is crucial as it could influence the balance of power in Congress and reflect voter sentiment on key issues leading up to the election.
Democratic Party leads the “CT-01 House winner” event at 94.0% implied probability, followed by Republican Party at 49.5%. A 92.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Odds are influenced by candidate popularity, fundraising efforts, and polling data. Additionally, local and national issues can sway voter sentiment leading up to the election.
The outcome of the CT-01 House race could shift the majority in the House of Representatives. This change may affect legislative priorities and the overall political climate.
Results for the CT-01 House election will be available on election night, November 3, 2026. However, final certified results may take days or weeks to confirm due to mail-in ballots and recounts.
CT-01 House winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Democratic Party leads at 94% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Republican Party at 50%.
Democratic Party currently leads at 94% implied probability. Behind Democratic Party, Republican Party at 50% are the next closest contenders. The 92.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Build a custom bot or arb alert system for the “CT-01 House winner?” event. All for free.
As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
Used by builders and traders in our 3K+ Discord community
Democratic Party
94.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for CT-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
