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Live prediction market odds for CT-01 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Kalshi / Polymarket

CT-01 House winner?

2026-11-03

About This Market

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Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the CT-01 House election scheduled for November 3, 2026. This race is crucial as it could influence the balance of power in Congress and reflect voter sentiment on key issues leading up to the election.

Democratic Party leads the “CT-01 House winner” event at 94.3% implied probability, followed by Republican Party at 4.3%. A 4.7% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
No price history available

Live Markets

2 platforms
DP
Democratic PartyARB
94% Avg
Kalshi97¢
Polymarket92¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
96.0%95¢97¢3¢5¢
PolymarketPolymarket
91.0%90¢92¢8¢10¢
RP
Republican PartyARB
4% Avg
Kalshi2¢
Polymarket7¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
1.5%1¢2¢98¢99¢
PolymarketPolymarket
6.0%5¢7¢93¢95¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the CT-01 House election?

Odds are influenced by candidate popularity, fundraising efforts, and polling data. Additionally, local and national issues can sway voter sentiment leading up to the election.

How does the CT-01 House race impact national politics?

The outcome of the CT-01 House race could shift the majority in the House of Representatives. This change may affect legislative priorities and the overall political climate.

When will the results of the CT-01 House election be available?

Results for the CT-01 House election will be available on election night, November 3, 2026. However, final certified results may take days or weeks to confirm due to mail-in ballots and recounts.

What is "CT-01 House winner?" and why does it matter?

CT-01 House winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Democratic Party leads at 94% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Republican Party at 4%.

What is moving the odds on "CT-01 House winner?"?

Democratic Party currently leads at 94% implied probability. Behind Democratic Party, Republican Party at 4% are the next closest contenders. The 4.7% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

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Resolution Oracles

This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.

Stats
Spread4.7%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Volume$3K
Leader

Democratic Party

94.3% avg

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?