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Live prediction market odds for CT-02 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Kalshi / Polymarket

CT-02 House winner?

2026-11-03

About This Market

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Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the CT-02 House race for the upcoming 2026 elections. This contest will be pivotal in determining party control in Congress, influencing legislative agendas and national policies.

Democratic Party leads the “CT-02 House winner” event at 93.8% implied probability, followed by Republican Party at 5.7%. A 4.6% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
No price history available

Live Markets

2 platforms
DP
Democratic PartyARB
93% Avg
Kalshi96¢
Polymarket92¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
95.0%94¢96¢4¢6¢
PolymarketPolymarket
91.0%90¢92¢8¢10¢
RP
Republican PartyARB
5% Avg
Kalshi3¢
Polymarket8¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
2.0%1¢3¢97¢99¢
PolymarketPolymarket
7.0%6¢8¢92¢94¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the CT-02 House race?

Polling data, candidate profiles, and local issues play significant roles in shaping the odds. Additionally, national political trends and party support can affect voter turnout and preferences.

When is the CT-02 House election scheduled?

The CT-02 House election is set for November 3, 2026. This timing aligns with the general election, where multiple federal and state positions will be contested.

How do prediction markets reflect public sentiment in elections?

Prediction markets aggregate the opinions of participants who wager on outcomes, providing insights into public sentiment. Fluctuations in odds often reflect changing perceptions about candidates and their campaigns.

What is "CT-02 House winner?" and why does it matter?

CT-02 House winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Democratic Party leads at 94% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Republican Party at 6%.

What is moving the odds on "CT-02 House winner?"?

Democratic Party currently leads at 94% implied probability. Behind Democratic Party, Republican Party at 6% are the next closest contenders. The 4.6% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

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Resolution Oracles

This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.

Stats
Spread4.6%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Volume$2K
Leader

Democratic Party

93.8% avg

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?