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Live prediction market odds for Curacao: Stage of Elimination. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Kalshi / Polymarket

Curacao: Stage of Elimination

2026-07-19

About This Market

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Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking Curacao's stage of elimination in the upcoming tournament. The outcome will influence national pride and future funding for sports development in the region.

Group Stage leads the “Curacao: Stage of Elimination” event at 92.0% implied probability. Other contenders include Round of 32 (6.6%), Quarterfinals (0.9%), Round of 16 (0.8%), and Semifinals (0.6%). A 2.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
GS
Group Stage
91% Avg
Kalshi93¢
Polymarket95¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
89.5%86¢93¢7¢14¢
PolymarketPolymarket
93.0%91¢95¢5¢9¢
RO
Round of 32
6% Avg
Kalshi8¢
Polymarket7¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
5.0%2¢8¢92¢98¢
PolymarketPolymarket
6.0%5¢7¢94¢95¢
Q
Quarterfinals
4% Avg
Kalshi16¢
Polymarket1¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
8.0%0¢16¢84¢100¢
PolymarketPolymarket
0.5%0¢1¢99¢100¢
RO
Round of 16
4% Avg
Kalshi16¢
Polymarket1¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
8.0%0¢16¢84¢100¢
PolymarketPolymarket
0.5%0¢1¢99¢100¢
S
Semifinals
4% Avg
Kalshi14¢
Polymarket0¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
7.0%0¢14¢86¢100¢
PolymarketPolymarket
0.0%0¢0¢100¢100¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence Curacao's chances of advancing in the tournament?

Team performance, player injuries, and historical matchups against opponents are critical factors. Additionally, the strength of the group's competition can impact their advancement.

How does the stage of elimination affect future sports funding for Curacao?

Advancing further in the tournament can lead to increased visibility and support for sports programs. Success can attract sponsorships and government investment in athletic development.

What is the significance of the prediction markets for this event?

Prediction markets provide real-time insights into public sentiment and expert analysis regarding Curacao's performance. Odds reflect collective expectations and can shift based on team news and match outcomes.

What is "Curacao: Stage of Elimination" and why does it matter?

Curacao: Stage of Elimination is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Group Stage leads at 92% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Round of 32 at 7%, Quarterfinals at 1%, Round of 16 at 1%.

What is moving the odds on "Curacao: Stage of Elimination"?

Group Stage currently leads at 92% implied probability. Behind Group Stage, Round of 32 at 7% and Quarterfinals at 1% and Round of 16 at 1% are the next closest contenders. A 2.0% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.

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¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread2.0%
Platforms2
Candidates5
Leader

Group Stage

Market Rulebook: Curacao: Stage of Elimination

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Curacao is eliminated in the Round of 32 in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

For the purposes of this Contract, if a team withdraws, forfeits or is disqualified at any point during the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, their stage of elimination will be determined by the farthest stage they reached prior to withdrawal, forfeit or disqualification. For example, if a team withdraws after winning their Round of 32 match, the market titled "Round of 16" will resolve to Yes since that would be the next stage where they would have been eliminated had they continued competing. Note: If a team loses in the Semifinals, the market titled "Semifinals" will resolve to Yes, regardless of whether they win the third-place match. This market and these products have not been endorsed by FIFA. Any references to "FIFA", the "FIFA World Cup," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FIFA and Kalshi.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle
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92.0% avg

No price history available