Live prediction market odds for DE-AL House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-11-03
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the outcome of the DE-AL House race for the 2026 elections. This contest will influence the balance of power in Congress and shape legislative priorities moving forward.
Democratic Party leads the “DE-AL House winner” event at 96.3% implied probability, followed by Republican Party at 4.8%. A 5.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Polling data, candidate fundraising, and voter sentiment are key factors affecting the odds. Additionally, national political trends and local issues can sway public opinion leading up to the election.
The DE-AL House race is part of the 2026 midterm elections, which are crucial for determining control of the House of Representatives. Outcomes in this race could impact legislative agendas and party strategies.
The DE-AL House election is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This date is significant as it coincides with the general election, where multiple federal and state offices will be contested.
DE-AL House winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Democratic Party leads at 96% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Republican Party at 5%.
Democratic Party currently leads at 96% implied probability. Behind Democratic Party, Republican Party at 5% are the next closest contenders. The 5.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
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Democratic Party
96.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for DE-AL for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
