Live prediction market odds for Decibel FDV above ___ one day after launch?. Compare prices across Polymarket and Predict.fun.
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Polymarket / Predict.fun
2028-01-01
Predict.fun + Polymarket pair (auto-ingested via condition_id cross-ref)
$20M leads the “Decibel FDV above ___ one day after launch” event at 88.0% implied probability. Other contenders include $50M (68.8%), and $100M (38.4%). A 4.8% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Decibel FDV above ___ one day after launch is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Polymarket, Predict.fun). $20M leads at 88% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include $50M at 69%, $100M at 36%.
$20M currently leads at 88% implied probability. Behind $20M, $50M at 69% and $100M at 36% are the next closest contenders. The 4.8% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Polymarket, Predict.fun: $20M: 89¢ on Polymarket. $50M: 69¢ on Polymarket. $100M: 36¢ on Polymarket. The 4.8% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 88¢ means the market estimates a 88% probability that $20M will be the outcome. Buying one share at 88¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 14% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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$20M
88.0% avg
