Live prediction market odds for Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine in 2026?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and PredictIt.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / PredictIt
Resolved 2026-05-01
This market resolved on 2026-05-01. Graham Platner was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt are tracking the race for the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine in 2026. This contest is crucial as it will influence the balance of power in the Senate and reflect voter sentiment in the state leading up to the election.
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Graham PlatnerWINNER | 98% | 99% | 99% |
Janet Mills | 1% | 1% | 1% |
Dan Kleban | 0% |
Polling data, candidate endorsements, and local political dynamics play significant roles in shaping the odds. Additionally, national trends and party support can impact candidate viability.
Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of outcomes, with prices reflecting perceived probabilities. As new information emerges, such as candidate announcements or polling results, market prices can fluctuate.
The outcome of this nomination will determine the Democratic candidate for the Senate seat, which is critical for party strategy in the upcoming election. Winning this seat could help the Democrats maintain or gain control in the Senate.
Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine in 2026 was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt). Graham Platner led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Janet Mills at 1%, Dan Kleban at 1%.
Graham Platner held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Graham Platner, Janet Mills at 1% and Dan Kleban at 1% were the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.9% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Graham Platner wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Class II Maine Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketThis market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Maine. If no 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
| — |
| 1% |
Graham Platner
98.6% avg
