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Live prediction market odds for Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine in 2026?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and PredictIt.

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Kalshi / Polymarket / PredictIt

Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine in 2026?

2026-05-01

About This Market

Share

Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt are tracking the race for the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine in 2026. This contest is crucial as it will influence the balance of power in the Senate and reflect voter sentiment in the state leading up to the election.

Graham Platner leads the “Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine in 2026” event at 92.2% implied probability. Other contenders include Janet Mills (7.8%), Dan Kleban (0.6%), and Jordan Wood (0.1%). A 4.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
No price history available

Live Markets

3 platforms
GP
Graham PlatnerARB
92% Avg
Kalshi91¢
Polymarket92¢
PredictIt95¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
90.5%90¢91¢9¢10¢
PolymarketPolymarket
91.5%91¢92¢8¢9¢
PredictItPredictIt
93.5%92¢95¢5¢8¢
JM
Janet MillsARB
8% Avg
Kalshi9¢
Polymarket9¢
PredictIt8¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
9.0%9¢9¢91¢92¢
PolymarketPolymarket
8.5%8¢9¢91¢92¢
PredictItPredictIt
6.5%5¢8¢92¢95¢
DK
Dan KlebanARB
1% Avg
Kalshi0¢
PredictIt1¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
0.0%0¢0¢100¢100¢
PredictItPredictIt
1.0%1¢1¢99¢99¢
JW
Jordan Wood
0% Avg
Kalshi0¢
Polymarket0¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
0.0%0¢0¢100¢100¢
PolymarketPolymarket
0.0%0¢0¢100¢100¢

Candidate Spotlight

About Graham Platner

Graham Platner is a Marine veteran and Sullivan harbor master running for the Democratic nomination in Maine's 2026 U.S. Senate race. He previously served as a Marine infantryman and now works as an oyster farmer. His candidacy is notable for its grassroots support and progressive platform, aiming to challenge incumbent Republican Senator Susan Collins.

About Janet Mills

Janet Mills is the current Governor of Maine, serving since 2019. She previously held the position of Attorney General of Maine for four terms. She is running for the Democratic nomination for the U.S. Senate in Maine's 2026 election.

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the Democratic nominee in Maine?

Polling data, candidate endorsements, and local political dynamics play significant roles in shaping the odds. Additionally, national trends and party support can impact candidate viability.

How do prediction markets work for this Senate nomination?

Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of outcomes, with prices reflecting perceived probabilities. As new information emerges, such as candidate announcements or polling results, market prices can fluctuate.

What is at stake in the Maine Senate nomination?

The outcome of this nomination will determine the Democratic candidate for the Senate seat, which is critical for party strategy in the upcoming election. Winning this seat could help the Democrats maintain or gain control in the Senate.

What is "Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine in 2026?" and why does it matter?

Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine in 2026 is a prediction market event currently tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt). Graham Platner leads at 92% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Janet Mills at 8%, Dan Kleban at 1%, Jordan Wood at 0%.

What is moving the odds on "Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine in 2026?"?

Graham Platner currently leads at 92% implied probability. Behind Graham Platner, Janet Mills at 8% and Dan Kleban at 1% and Jordan Wood at 0% are the next closest contenders. The 4.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Democratic PartyRepublican Party
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread4.5%
Platforms

Market Rulebook: Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine in 2026?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Graham Platner wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Class II Maine Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
Democratic PartyRepublican Party
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Maine. If no 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?
3
Candidates4
Leader

Graham Platner

92.2% avg