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MarketsWhalesArbTrending
ARBITRAGE_ACTIVE // SPREAD: 81.5% // +$8150.00

Live prediction market odds for Ecuador vs Curacao. Compare prices across Kalshi and Opinion and Predict.fun.

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Kalshi / Opinion / Predict.fun

Ecuador vs Curacao

2026-06-21

About This Market

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Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the match between Ecuador and Curacao on June 21, 2026. This game is crucial for both teams as they vie for positioning in international tournaments, impacting their global rankings and fan engagement.

Draw leads the “Ecuador vs Curacao” event at 32.3% implied probability, followed by Curacao at 4.6%. A 81.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
D
DrawARB
35% Avg
Kalshi83¢
Opinion16¢
Predict.fun16¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
82.5%82¢83¢87¢88¢
OpinionOpinion
13.5%11¢16¢84¢89¢
Predict.funPredict.fun
8.5%1¢16¢84¢99¢
C
Curacao
6% Avg
Kalshi6¢
Opinion9¢
Predict.fun10¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
5.5%5¢6¢94¢95¢
OpinionOpinion
6.5%4¢9¢91¢96¢
Predict.funPredict.fun
5.5%1¢10¢90¢99¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What is at stake for Ecuador in this match?

Ecuador aims to improve its international ranking and secure a favorable position in upcoming tournaments. A win could enhance their chances of qualification for major competitions.

How does Curacao's performance impact their future matches?

Curacao's performance in this match is vital for their development as a competitive team on the international stage. A strong showing could lead to increased support and investment in their football programs.

What factors influence the odds for this match?

Odds are influenced by team form, player injuries, and historical performance in international fixtures. Additionally, fan support and travel conditions may also play a role in shaping expectations.

What is "Ecuador vs Curacao" and why does it matter?

Ecuador vs Curacao is a prediction market event currently tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Opinion, Predict.fun). Draw leads at 32% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Curacao at 6%.

What is moving the odds on "Ecuador vs Curacao"?

Draw currently leads at 32% implied probability. Behind Draw, Curacao at 6% are the next closest contenders. The 81.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
OpinionOpinion
Opinion AI
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread81.5%
Platforms3

Market Rulebook: Ecuador vs Curacao

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Opinion and Polymarket and Predict.fun.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Tie wins the Ecuador vs Curacao professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 20, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Ecuador vs Curacao professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 20, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
OpinionOpinion
Primary Rule

Resolves Yes if the match ends in a draw after regular time. Resolves No if either team wins. Does not apply in competitions where draws are not possible.

Resolution Oracles
Opinion AI
PolymarketPolymarket
Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Predict.funPredict.fun
Primary Rule

{'description': 'In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 20, 2026\nIf the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to "No".\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.\nIf the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes".\nThis market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event\'s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.'}

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Candidates2
Leader

Draw

32.3% avg

No price history available