Question 1

What factors influence the spread for this match?

Accepted Answer

Factors include team performance, player injuries, and historical matchups. Additionally, betting trends and public sentiment can sway the odds leading up to the game.

Question 2

How does the spread work in this context?

Accepted Answer

The spread represents the expected margin of victory for one team over the other. Bettors can wager on whether the actual outcome will exceed or fall short of this margin.

Question 3

Why is this match particularly important?

Accepted Answer

This match is crucial as it contributes to the overall standings in the tournament. A decisive victory could enhance a team's chances of advancing further in the competition.

Question 4

What is "Ecuador vs Germany: Spread" and why does it matter?

Accepted Answer

Ecuador vs Germany: Spread is a prediction market event currently tracked across 1 platform (Kalshi). Germany wins by more than 1.5 goals leads at 27% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Germany wins by more than 2.5 goals at 13%, Ecuador wins by more than 1.5 goals at 10%, Ecuador wins by more than 2.5 goals at 3%.

Question 5

What is moving the odds on "Ecuador vs Germany: Spread"?

Accepted Answer

Germany wins by more than 1.5 goals currently leads at 27% implied probability. Behind Germany wins by more than 1.5 goals, Germany wins by more than 2.5 goals at 13% and Ecuador wins by more than 1.5 goals at 10% and Ecuador wins by more than 2.5 goals at 3% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.

Question 6

What are the current odds for "Ecuador vs Germany: Spread" across platforms?

Accepted Answer

Here are the latest odds across Kalshi: Germany wins by more than 1.5 goals: 27¢ on Kalshi. Germany wins by more than 2.5 goals: 13¢ on Kalshi. Ecuador wins by more than 1.5 goals: 10¢ on Kalshi. Ecuador wins by more than 2.5 goals: 3¢ on Kalshi. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.

Question 7

What does it mean that Germany wins by more than 1.5 goals is at 27%?

Accepted Answer

A price of 27¢ means the market estimates a 27% probability that Germany wins by more than 1.5 goals will be the outcome. Buying one share at 27¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 270% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.

Ecuador vs Germany: Spread

About This Market

Price History

Live Markets

Frequently Asked Questions

Smart Trade Router

Resolution Oracles