About This Market
ShareRound of 32 is priced at 16.5% implied probability for the “England: Stage of Elimination” event. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.
Live prediction market odds for England: Stage of Elimination. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-07-19
Round of 32 is priced at 16.5% implied probability for the “England: Stage of Elimination” event. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf England is eliminated in the Round of 32 in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
For the purposes of this Contract, if a team withdraws, forfeits or is disqualified at any point during the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, their stage of elimination will be determined by the farthest stage they reached prior to withdrawal, forfeit or disqualification. For example, if a team withdraws after winning their Round of 32 match, the market titled "Round of 16" will resolve to Yes since that would be the next stage where they would have been eliminated had they continued competing. Note: If a team loses in the Semifinals, the market titled "Semifinals" will resolve to Yes, regardless of whether they win the third-place match. This market and these products have not been endorsed by FIFA. Any references to "FIFA", the "FIFA World Cup," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FIFA and Kalshi.
PolymarketEngland: Stage of Elimination is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Round of 32 leads at 17% implied probability, making it the market favorite.
Round of 32 currently leads at 17% implied probability. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Round of 32: 17¢ on Kalshi, 16¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 17¢ means the market estimates a 17% probability that Round of 32 will be the outcome. Buying one share at 17¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 488% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Round of 32
16.5% avg