Live prediction market odds for Arsenal vs. Manchester City. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-19
Arsenal vs. Manchester City — English Premier League game scheduled for 2026-04-19. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Manchester City leads the “Arsenal vs. Manchester City” event at 47.5% implied probability. Other contenders include Arsenal (28.3%), and Draw (25.5%). A 1.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Arsenal vs. Manchester City is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Manchester City leads at 48% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Arsenal at 28%, Draw at 26%.
Manchester City currently leads at 48% implied probability. Behind Manchester City, Arsenal at 28% and Draw at 26% are the next closest contenders. A 1.5% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Manchester City: 48¢ on Kalshi, 48¢ on Polymarket. Arsenal: 29¢ on Kalshi, 28¢ on Polymarket. Draw: 25¢ on Kalshi, 26¢ on Polymarket. The 1.5% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 48¢ means the market estimates a 48% probability that Manchester City will be the outcome. Buying one share at 48¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 108% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.
Manchester City
47.5% avg
