Live prediction market odds for Arsenal vs. Manchester City. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-19
Arsenal vs. Manchester City — English Premier League game scheduled for 2026-04-19. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Manchester City leads the “Arsenal vs. Manchester City” event at 52.8% implied probability. Other contenders include Draw (26.0%), and Arsenal (23.0%). Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread.
Arsenal vs. Manchester City is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Manchester City leads at 53% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Draw at 26%, Arsenal at 23%.
Manchester City currently leads at 53% implied probability. Behind Manchester City, Draw at 26% and Arsenal at 23% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Manchester City: 53¢ on Kalshi, 53¢ on Polymarket. Draw: 26¢ on Kalshi, 26¢ on Polymarket. Arsenal: 23¢ on Kalshi, 23¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 53¢ means the market estimates a 53% probability that Manchester City will be the outcome. Buying one share at 53¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 89% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Manchester City wins the Manchester City vs Arsenal professional EPL soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 19, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Manchester City vs Arsenal professional EPL soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 19, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming game, scheduled for April 19, 2026 If Manchester City FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Manchester City
52.8% avg
