Live prediction market odds for Manchester United vs. Sunderland. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-09
Manchester United vs. Sunderland — English Premier League game scheduled for 2026-05-09. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Manchester United leads the “Manchester United vs. Sunderland” event at 44.8% implied probability. Other contenders include Sunderland (34.3%), and Draw (20.0%). A 26.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Manchester United vs. Sunderland is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Manchester United leads at 45% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Sunderland at 34%, Draw at 20%.
Manchester United currently leads at 45% implied probability. Behind Manchester United, Sunderland at 34% and Draw at 20% are the next closest contenders. The 26.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Manchester United: 38¢ on Kalshi, 52¢ on Polymarket. Sunderland: 30¢ on Kalshi, 39¢ on Polymarket. Draw: 7¢ on Kalshi, 33¢ on Polymarket. The 26.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 45¢ means the market estimates a 45% probability that Manchester United will be the outcome. Buying one share at 45¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 122% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
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This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.
Manchester United
44.8% avg
