Live prediction market odds for F1 Drivers Champion 2025?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-31
This market resolved on 2025-12-31. Lando Norris was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Lando NorrisWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Carlos Sainz Jr | 1% | 50% |
Charles Leclerc | 1% | 50% |
Esteban Ocon | 1% | 50% |
Fernando Alonso | 1% | 50% |
Gabriel Bortoleto | 1% | 50% |
George Russell | 1% | 50% |
Isack Hadjar | 1% | 50% |
Jack Doohan | 1% | 50% |
Kimi Antonelli | 1% | 50% |
Lance Stroll | 1% | 50% |
Lewis Hamilton | 1% | 50% |
Liam Lawson | 1% | 50% |
Max Verstappen | 1% | 50% |
Oliver Bearman | 1% | 50% |
Oscar Piastri | 1% | 50% |
Pierre Gasly | 1% | 50% |
Yuki Tsunoda | 1% | 50% |
F1 Drivers Champion 2025 was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Lando Norris led the market at 100% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Carlos Sainz Jr at 26%, Charles Leclerc at 26%, Esteban Ocon at 26%.
Lando Norris held the lead at 100% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Lando Norris, Carlos Sainz Jr at 26% and Charles Leclerc at 26% and Esteban Ocon at 26% were the next closest contenders. The 49.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Lando Norris: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Carlos Sainz Jr: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Charles Leclerc: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Esteban Ocon: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. The 49.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 100¢ meant the market estimated a 100% chance that Lando Norris would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 100¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 0% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Lando Norris
99.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Liam Lawson wins the Formula 1 Drivers Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
