Live prediction market odds for FIFA World Cup Group F Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-27
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of Group F in the FIFA World Cup. The outcome will influence knockout stage matchups and national pride as teams compete on a global stage.
Netherlands leads the “FIFA World Cup Group F Winner” event at 58.5% implied probability. Other contenders include Japan (27.0%), and Tunisia (4.3%). A 2.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
FIFA World Cup Group F Winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Netherlands leads at 59% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Japan at 27%, Tunisia at 4%.
Netherlands currently leads at 59% implied probability. Behind Netherlands, Japan at 27% and Tunisia at 4% are the next closest contenders. A 2.0% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Netherlands: 59¢ on Kalshi, 59¢ on Polymarket. Japan: 28¢ on Kalshi, 26¢ on Polymarket. Tunisia: 5¢ on Kalshi, 4¢ on Polymarket. The 2.0% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 59¢ means the market estimates a 59% probability that Netherlands will be the outcome. Buying one share at 59¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 69% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.
Netherlands
58.5% avg
