Question 1

What factors influence the odds for the Group J Winner?

Accepted Answer

Team performance in qualifying matches, player injuries, and historical success in the World Cup can significantly impact the odds. Additionally, public sentiment and betting patterns also play a role.

Question 2

When does the FIFA World Cup Group J take place?

Accepted Answer

The group stage matches for FIFA World Cup Group J are scheduled to occur in June 2026. The exact dates will be confirmed closer to the event.

Question 3

How does winning Group J affect a team's chances in the tournament?

Accepted Answer

Winning Group J secures a spot in the knockout stage, increasing a team's chances of progressing further in the tournament. This can also enhance their visibility and sponsorship opportunities.

Question 4

What is "FIFA World Cup Group J Winner" and why does it matter?

Accepted Answer

FIFA World Cup Group J Winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Argentina leads at 72% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Austria at 19%, Algeria at 9%, Jordan at 1%.

Question 5

What is moving the odds on "FIFA World Cup Group J Winner"?

Accepted Answer

Argentina currently leads at 72% implied probability. Behind Argentina, Austria at 19% and Algeria at 9% and Jordan at 1% are the next closest contenders. A 2.0% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.

Question 6

What are the current odds for "FIFA World Cup Group J Winner" across platforms?

Accepted Answer

Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Argentina: 72¢ on Kalshi, 72¢ on Polymarket. Austria: 19¢ on Kalshi, 19¢ on Polymarket. Algeria: 10¢ on Kalshi, 8¢ on Polymarket. Jordan: 1¢ on Kalshi, 1¢ on Polymarket. The 2.0% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.

Question 7

What does it mean that Argentina is at 72%?

Accepted Answer

A price of 72¢ means the market estimates a 72% probability that Argentina will be the outcome. Buying one share at 72¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 39% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.

Platform	Implied %	Yes — Bid / Ask		No — Bid / Ask
Kalshi	71.0%	70¢	72¢	28¢	30¢
Polymarket	71.5%	71¢	72¢	28¢	29¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes — Bid / Ask		No — Bid / Ask
Kalshi	19.0%	18¢	20¢	80¢	82¢
Polymarket	18.5%	18¢	19¢	81¢	82¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes — Bid / Ask		No — Bid / Ask
Kalshi	10.5%	10¢	11¢	89¢	90¢
Polymarket	8.5%	8¢	9¢	91¢	92¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes — Bid / Ask		No — Bid / Ask
Kalshi	1.5%	1¢	2¢	98¢	99¢
Polymarket	1.5%	1¢	2¢	98¢	99¢

FIFA World Cup Group J Winner

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