Live prediction market odds for Fight Night: Abdullayev vs Nascimento. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-28
Fight Night: Abdullayev vs Nascimento is being tracked on Polymarket and Kalshi. This matchup is crucial as it could impact rankings and future opportunities for both fighters in their respective divisions.
Tahir Abdullayev leads the “Fight Night: Abdullayev vs Nascimento” event at 52.0% implied probability, followed by Jefferson Nascimento at 48.0%. A 4.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
This matchup is significant as it could determine the future trajectories of both fighters' careers. Winning could lead to higher rankings and potential title shots.
Prediction markets analyze various factors such as fighter statistics, recent performances, and public sentiment to set odds. These odds can fluctuate leading up to the fight based on new information.
The fight is scheduled for June 28, 2026. This date is important for fans and analysts as it approaches the event's buildup and promotional activities.
Fight Night: Abdullayev vs Nascimento is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Tahir Abdullayev leads at 52% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Jefferson Nascimento at 48%.
Tahir Abdullayev currently leads at 52% implied probability. Behind Tahir Abdullayev, Jefferson Nascimento at 48% are the next closest contenders. The 4.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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Tahir Abdullayev
52.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Tahir Abdullayev wins the Abdullayev vs Nascimento professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Jun 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Abdullayev vs Nascimento professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Jun 27, 2026. If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks). If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.
Polymarket