Live prediction market odds for Fight Night: Almabayev vs Johnson. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-28
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Fight Night: Almabayev vs Johnson event. This matchup is pivotal in the MMA landscape, influencing rankings and future title shots for the fighters involved.
Asu Almabayev leads the “Fight Night: Almabayev vs Johnson” event at 70.5% implied probability, followed by Charles Johnson at 29.5%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.
The outcome of this fight could determine the future rankings of both fighters in their weight class. A win may lead to title shot opportunities for the victor.
Prediction markets aggregate bets from participants, reflecting their expectations of the fight's outcome. Changes in odds can indicate shifts in public sentiment or insider information leading up to the event.
Fighter performance history, training camp updates, and injuries are key factors that influence the odds. Additionally, betting patterns and public interest can also sway market prices leading up to the fight.
Fight Night: Almabayev vs Johnson is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Asu Almabayev leads at 71% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Charles Johnson at 30%.
Asu Almabayev currently leads at 71% implied probability. Behind Asu Almabayev, Charles Johnson at 30% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
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Asu Almabayev
70.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Asu Almabayev wins the Almabayev vs Johnson professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Jun 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Almabayev vs Johnson professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Jun 27, 2026. If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks). If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.
Polymarket