Live prediction market odds for FL-13 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-11-04
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the FL-13 House winner for the upcoming 2026 elections. This race is pivotal as it could influence the balance of power in Congress and reflect voter sentiment on key issues leading up to the election.
Republican Party leads the “FL-13 House winner” event at 71.8% implied probability, followed by Democratic Party at 26.3%. A 4.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Polling data, candidate profiles, and campaign funding play crucial roles in shaping the odds. Additionally, local and national political trends can impact voter turnout and preferences.
Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of election outcomes. Prices reflect the collective wisdom of market participants regarding the likelihood of various candidates winning.
FL-13 is often viewed as a bellwether district, making it a key indicator of broader electoral trends. Winning this seat can provide momentum for the party in the lead-up to national elections.
FL-13 House winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Republican Party leads at 72% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Democratic Party at 26%.
Republican Party currently leads at 72% implied probability. Behind Republican Party, Democratic Party at 26% are the next closest contenders. The 4.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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Republican Party
71.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for FL-13 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
