Live prediction market odds for FL-19 Republican nominee?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-08-18
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Republican nominee for Florida's 19th congressional district. This contest is pivotal as it could influence the balance of power in the House of Representatives leading up to the 2026 elections.
Jim Schwartzel is priced at 19.0% implied probability for the “FL-19 Republican nominee” event. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.9% spread.
Polling data, candidate endorsements, and fundraising efforts are critical in shaping the odds. Additionally, local political dynamics and voter sentiment play significant roles.
The FL-19 seat is crucial as it could impact the Republican Party's overall strategy and control in the House. Winning this district may help secure a majority in a closely contested election cycle.
Prediction markets aggregate the opinions of participants who buy and sell shares based on their expectations of outcomes. The prices reflect collective beliefs about each candidate's chances of securing the nomination.
FL-19 Republican nominee is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Jim Schwartzel leads at 19% implied probability, making it the market favorite.
Jim Schwartzel currently leads at 19% implied probability. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.9% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Jim Schwartzel wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 FL-19 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Jim Schwartzel
19.0% avg
