Live prediction market odds for France: Stage of Elimination. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-07-19
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the stage of elimination for France in the 2026 FIFA World Cup. As the tournament approaches, team performance, player injuries, and historical trends will influence the odds of France's progression through the knockout stages.
Round of 16 is priced at 22.5% implied probability for the “France: Stage of Elimination” event. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread.
Key factors include the team's current form, player fitness, and the strength of their opponents. Historical performance in World Cups also plays a role in shaping expectations.
The tournament is scheduled to occur from June 8 to July 8, 2026. Matches will be held across various cities in the United States, Canada, and Mexico.
Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on the likelihood of specific outcomes. Prices fluctuate based on real-time information, reflecting collective sentiment about the event.
France: Stage of Elimination is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Round of 16 leads at 23% implied probability, making it the market favorite.
Round of 16 currently leads at 23% implied probability. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
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As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
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Round of 16
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf France is eliminated in the Round of 16 in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
For the purposes of this Contract, if a team withdraws, forfeits or is disqualified at any point during the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, their stage of elimination will be determined by the farthest stage they reached prior to withdrawal, forfeit or disqualification. For example, if a team withdraws after winning their Round of 32 match, the market titled "Round of 16" will resolve to Yes since that would be the next stage where they would have been eliminated had they continued competing. Note: If a team loses in the Semifinals, the market titled "Semifinals" will resolve to Yes, regardless of whether they win the third-place match. This market and these products have not been endorsed by FIFA. Any references to "FIFA", the "FIFA World Cup," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FIFA and Kalshi.
Polymarket22.5% avg
