About This Market
SharePolymarket and Kalshi are tracking the boxing match between Fury and Makhmudov held on April 12, 2026. This bout is pivotal for both fighters' careers, potentially impacting future title shots and marketability in the sport.
Live prediction market odds for Fury vs Makhmudov. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-04-12
This market resolved on 2026-04-12. Fury was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 90%.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the boxing match between Fury and Makhmudov held on April 12, 2026. This bout is pivotal for both fighters' careers, potentially impacting future title shots and marketability in the sport.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|
FuryWINNER | 99% | 82% |
Makhmudov | 1% | 19% |
Prediction Market Track Record
Fury aims to maintain his status as a top heavyweight contender. A victory could lead to lucrative title fights and enhance his legacy.
A win for Makhmudov could establish him as a serious contender in the heavyweight division. It may also open doors for championship opportunities.
Odds are influenced by fighter performance history, training camps, and public sentiment leading up to the match. Injuries or changes in training can also impact betting lines.
Fury vs Makhmudov was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Fury led the market at 90% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Makhmudov at 10%.
Fury held the lead at 90% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Fury, Makhmudov at 10% were the next closest contenders. The 17.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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Fury
90.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Tyson Fury wins the Tyson Fury vs Arslanbek Makhmudov boxing match originally scheduled for Apr 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Tyson Fury vs Arslanbek Makhmudov boxing match originally scheduled for Apr 11, 2026. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).