Live prediction market odds for GA-05 Democratic nominee?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-05-19
This market resolved on 2026-05-19. Nikema Williams was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 98%.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Democratic nominee for Georgia's 5th congressional district in the upcoming 2026 elections. The outcome will influence party dynamics and representation in Congress, making it a focal point for both local and national political strategies.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Nikema WilliamsWINNER | 97% | 99% |
Arnetress Beatty | 3% | 1% |
Odds are shaped by candidate popularity, fundraising success, and endorsements. Polling data and voter sentiment also play crucial roles leading up to the election.
Georgia's 5th district is a key area for the Democratic Party, often seen as a stronghold. Winning this seat can help maintain or expand the party's influence in Congress.
The election for the Democratic nominee in Georgia's 5th district is scheduled for May 19, 2026. This date is critical for candidates as they ramp up their campaigns.
GA-05 Democratic nominee was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Nikema Williams led the market at 98% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Arnetress Beatty at 2%.
Nikema Williams held the lead at 98% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Nikema Williams, Arnetress Beatty at 2% were the next closest contenders. A 2.2% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
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Nikema Williams
98.2% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Nikema Williams wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 GA-05 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
