Live prediction market odds for GA-14 special election winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and PredictIt.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / PredictIt
Resolved 2026-02-15
This market resolved on 2026-02-15. Clayton Fuller was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Clayton FullerWINNER | 100% | 99% |
Colton Moore | 1% | 1% |
Tom Gray | 1% | 1% |
GA-14 special election winner was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, PredictIt). Clayton Fuller led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Colton Moore at 1%, Tom Gray at 1%.
Clayton Fuller held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Clayton Fuller, Colton Moore at 1% and Tom Gray at 1% were the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.8% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, PredictIt: Clayton Fuller: 100¢ on Kalshi, 99¢ on PredictIt. Colton Moore: 1¢ on Kalshi, 1¢ on PredictIt. Tom Gray: 1¢ on Kalshi, 1¢ on PredictIt. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.8% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 99¢ meant the market estimated a 99% chance that Clayton Fuller would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 99¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 1% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Clayton Fuller
99.4% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Colton Moore wins the 2026 GA-14 special election (including any runoffs) in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
If a runoff occurs, the market will resolve to the winner of the runoff election.
