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ARBITRAGE_ACTIVE // SPREAD: 50.0% // +$5000.00

Live prediction market odds for George Mason at Saint Joseph's. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket

Saint Joseph's Wins: George Mason at Saint Joseph's

Resolved 2026-02-26

This market resolved on 2026-02-26. Saint Joseph's was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 74%.

About This Market

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This market has resolved.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
No price history available

Final Closing Odds

2 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket
Saint Joseph'sWINNER
99%49%
Saint Joseph's Hawks
99%49%
George Mason
1%51%
George Mason Patriots
1%

Frequently Asked Questions

What was "George Mason at Saint Joseph's" and why did it matter?

George Mason at Saint Joseph's was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Saint Joseph's led the market at 74% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Saint Joseph's Hawks at 74%, George Mason at 26%, George Mason Patriots at 26%.

What moved the odds on "George Mason at Saint Joseph's"?

Saint Joseph's held the lead at 74% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Saint Joseph's, Saint Joseph's Hawks at 74% and George Mason at 26% and George Mason Patriots at 26% were the next closest contenders. The 50.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

What were the final odds for "George Mason at Saint Joseph's" across platforms?

Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Saint Joseph's: 99¢ on Kalshi, 49¢ on Polymarket. Saint Joseph's Hawks: 99¢ on Kalshi, 49¢ on Polymarket. George Mason: 1¢ on Kalshi, 51¢ on Polymarket. George Mason Patriots: 1¢ on Kalshi, 51¢ on Polymarket. The 50.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

What did 74% odds for Saint Joseph's mean?

A price of 74¢ meant the market estimated a 74% chance that Saint Joseph's would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 74¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 35% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
ESPNKalshi using information originating from the NCAA
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread50.0%
Platforms2
Candidates4
Winner

Saint Joseph's

74.0% avg

Market Rulebook: George Mason at Saint Joseph's

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Saint Joseph's wins the George Mason at Saint Joseph's men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the team who wins the George Mason at Saint Joseph's men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 25, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
ESPNKalshi using information originating from the NCAA
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51%