About This Market
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Live prediction market odds for Giustino vs Gadamauri. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Live prediction market odds for Giustino vs Gadamauri. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Join our Discord for breaking news alerts, driven by real-time movements in prediction markets.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-03-05
This market resolved on 2026-03-05. Lorenzo Giustino was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 75%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Lorenzo GiustinoWINNER | 99% | 51% |
Buvaysar Gadamauri | 1% | 50% |
Giustino vs Gadamauri was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Lorenzo Giustino led the market at 75% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Buvaysar Gadamauri at 25%.
Lorenzo Giustino held the lead at 75% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Lorenzo Giustino, Buvaysar Gadamauri at 25% were the next closest contenders. The 48.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Lorenzo Giustino: 99¢ on Kalshi, 51¢ on Polymarket. Buvaysar Gadamauri: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. The 48.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 75¢ meant the market estimated a 75% chance that Lorenzo Giustino would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 75¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 33% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Lorenzo Giustino
74.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Lorenzo Giustino wins the Giustino vs Gadamauri professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Hersonissos Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Giustino vs Gadamauri professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Hersonissos Round Of 16 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).