Live prediction market odds for Grammy Award for Song Of The Year in 2026?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-02-01
This market resolved on 2026-02-01. Wildflower - Billie Eilish was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Wildflower - Billie EilishWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Abracadabra - Lady Gaga | 1% | 50% |
Anxiety - Doechii | 1% | 50% |
ATP. - Rosé and Bruno Mars |
Grammy Award for Song Of The Year in 2026 was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Wildflower - Billie Eilish led the market at 100% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Abracadabra - Lady Gaga at 26%, Anxiety - Doechii at 26%, ATP. - Rosé and Bruno Mars at 26%.
Wildflower - Billie Eilish held the lead at 100% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Wildflower - Billie Eilish, Abracadabra - Lady Gaga at 26% and Anxiety - Doechii at 26% and ATP. - Rosé and Bruno Mars at 26% were the next closest contenders. The 49.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Wildflower - Billie Eilish: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Abracadabra - Lady Gaga: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Anxiety - Doechii: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. ATP. - Rosé and Bruno Mars: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. The 49.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 100¢ meant the market estimated a 100% chance that Wildflower - Billie Eilish would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 100¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 0% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Wildflower - Billie Eilish
99.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf luther has won Song Of The Year at the 68th Annual Grammy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
**This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Recording Academy. Any references to the Recording Academy, the GRAMMY Awards, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between the Recording Academy and Kalshi.**
| 1% |
| 50% |
DTMF - Bad Bunny | 1% | 50% |
luther - Kendrick Lamar and SZA | 1% | 50% |
Manchild - Sabrina Carpenter | 1% | 50% |
