Question 1

What was "Grammys: Album of the Year Winner" and why did it matter?

Accepted Answer

Grammys: Album of the Year Winner was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS - Bad Bunny led the market at 100% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include GNX - Kendrick Lamar at 26%, Mayhem - Lady Gaga at 26%.

Question 2

What moved the odds on "Grammys: Album of the Year Winner"?

Accepted Answer

DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS - Bad Bunny held the lead at 100% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS - Bad Bunny, GNX - Kendrick Lamar at 26% and Mayhem - Lady Gaga at 26% were the next closest contenders. The 49.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

Question 3

What were the final odds for "Grammys: Album of the Year Winner" across platforms?

Accepted Answer

Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS - Bad Bunny: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. GNX - Kendrick Lamar: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Mayhem - Lady Gaga: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. The 49.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

Question 4

What did 100% odds for DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS - Bad Bunny mean?

Accepted Answer

A price of 100¢ meant the market estimated a 100% chance that DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS - Bad Bunny would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 100¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 0% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.

Candidate
DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS - Bad BunnyWINNER	99%	100%
GNX - Kendrick Lamar	1%	50%
Mayhem - Lady Gaga	1%	50%

DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS - Bad Bunny Wins: Grammys: Album of the Year Winner

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Frequently Asked Questions

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Grammys: Album of the Year Winner