Question 1

What was "Grammys: Best Album Cover Winner" and why did it matter?

Accepted Answer

Grammys: Best Album Cover Winner was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). CHROMAKOPIA - Tyler, The Creator led the market at 100% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Debí Tirar Más Fotos - Bad Bunny at 28%, Glory - Perfume Genius at 26%, moisturizer - Wet Leg at 26%.

Question 2

What moved the odds on "Grammys: Best Album Cover Winner"?

Accepted Answer

CHROMAKOPIA - Tyler, The Creator held the lead at 100% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind CHROMAKOPIA - Tyler, The Creator, Debí Tirar Más Fotos - Bad Bunny at 28% and Glory - Perfume Genius at 26% and moisturizer - Wet Leg at 26% were the next closest contenders. The 49.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

Question 3

What were the final odds for "Grammys: Best Album Cover Winner" across platforms?

Accepted Answer

Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: CHROMAKOPIA - Tyler, The Creator: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Debí Tirar Más Fotos - Bad Bunny: 5¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Glory - Perfume Genius: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. moisturizer - Wet Leg: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. The 49.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

Question 4

What did 100% odds for CHROMAKOPIA - Tyler, The Creator mean?

Accepted Answer

A price of 100¢ meant the market estimated a 100% chance that CHROMAKOPIA - Tyler, The Creator would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 100¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 0% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.

Candidate
CHROMAKOPIA - Tyler, The CreatorWINNER	99%	100%
Debí Tirar Más Fotos - Bad Bunny	5%	50%
Glory - Perfume Genius	1%	50%
moisturizer - Wet Leg	1%	50%
The Crux - Djo	1%	50%

CHROMAKOPIA - Tyler, The Creator Wins: Grammys: Best Album Cover Winner

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Frequently Asked Questions

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Grammys: Best Album Cover Winner