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Live prediction market odds for Grammys: Best Chamber Music/Small Ensemble Performance Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-02-01
This market resolved on 2026-02-01. Dennehy: Land Of Winter - Alan Pierson & Alarm Will Sound was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|
Dennehy: Land Of Winter - Alan Pierson & Alarm Will SoundWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Lullabies For The Brokenhearted - Lili Haydn & Paul Cantelon | 2% | 50% |
La Mer - French Piano Trios - Neave Trio | 1% | 50% |
Slavic Sessions - Mak Grgić & Mateusz Kowalski | 1% | 50% |
Standard Stoppages - Third Coast Percussion | 1% | 50% |
Grammys: Best Chamber Music/Small Ensemble Performance Winner was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Dennehy: Land Of Winter - Alan Pierson & Alarm Will Sound led the market at 100% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Lullabies For The Brokenhearted - Lili Haydn & Paul Cantelon at 26%, La Mer - French Piano Trios - Neave Trio at 26%, Slavic Sessions - Mak Grgić & Mateusz Kowalski at 26%.
Dennehy: Land Of Winter - Alan Pierson & Alarm Will Sound held the lead at 100% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Dennehy: Land Of Winter - Alan Pierson & Alarm Will Sound, Lullabies For The Brokenhearted - Lili Haydn & Paul Cantelon at 26% and La Mer - French Piano Trios - Neave Trio at 26% and Slavic Sessions - Mak Grgić & Mateusz Kowalski at 26% were the next closest contenders. The 49.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Dennehy: Land Of Winter - Alan Pierson & Alarm Will Sound: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Lullabies For The Brokenhearted - Lili Haydn & Paul Cantelon: 2¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. La Mer - French Piano Trios - Neave Trio: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Slavic Sessions - Mak Grgić & Mateusz Kowalski: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. The 49.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 100¢ meant the market estimated a 100% chance that Dennehy: Land Of Winter - Alan Pierson & Alarm Will Sound would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 100¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 0% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Dennehy: Land Of Winter - Alan Pierson & Alarm Will Sound
99.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Dennehy: Land Of Winter has won Best Chamber Music/Small Ensemble Performance at the 68th Annual Grammy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
**This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Recording Academy. Any references to the Recording Academy, the GRAMMY Awards, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between the Recording Academy and Kalshi.**