Live prediction market odds for Grammys: Best Classical Compendium Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-02-01
This market resolved on 2026-02-01. Ortiz: Yanga - Gustavo Dudamel was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Ortiz: Yanga - Gustavo DudamelWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Seven Seasons - Janai Brugger, Isolde Fair, MB Gordy & Starr Parodi | 10% | 50% |
Cerrone: Don't Look Down - Sandbox Percussion | 2% | 50% |
Grammys: Best Classical Compendium Winner was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Ortiz: Yanga - Gustavo Dudamel led the market at 100% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Seven Seasons - Janai Brugger, Isolde Fair, MB Gordy & Starr Parodi at 30%, Cerrone: Don't Look Down - Sandbox Percussion at 26%, The Dunbar/Moore Sessions, Vol. II - Will Liverman at 25%.
Ortiz: Yanga - Gustavo Dudamel held the lead at 100% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Ortiz: Yanga - Gustavo Dudamel, Seven Seasons - Janai Brugger, Isolde Fair, MB Gordy & Starr Parodi at 30% and Cerrone: Don't Look Down - Sandbox Percussion at 26% and The Dunbar/Moore Sessions, Vol. II - Will Liverman at 25% were the next closest contenders. The 50.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Ortiz: Yanga - Gustavo Dudamel: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Seven Seasons - Janai Brugger, Isolde Fair, MB Gordy & Starr Parodi: 10¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Cerrone: Don't Look Down - Sandbox Percussion: 2¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. The Dunbar/Moore Sessions, Vol. II - Will Liverman: 0¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. The 50.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 100¢ meant the market estimated a 100% chance that Ortiz: Yanga - Gustavo Dudamel would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 100¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 0% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Ortiz: Yanga - Gustavo Dudamel
99.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Cerrone: Don't Look Down has won Best Classical Compendium at the 68th Annual Grammy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
**This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Recording Academy. Any references to the Recording Academy, the GRAMMY Awards, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between the Recording Academy and Kalshi.**
The Dunbar/Moore Sessions, Vol. II - Will Liverman |
| 0% |
| 50% |
Tombeaux - Christina Sandsengen | 0% | 50% |
