Live prediction market odds for Grammys: Best Country Song Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-02-01
I Never Lie - Zach Top leads the “Grammys: Best Country Song Winner” event at 27.5% implied probability. Other contenders include Good News - Shaboozey (26.5%), A Song To Sing - Miranda Lambert and Chris Stapleton (25.5%), and Somewhere Over Laredo - Lainey Wilson (25.5%). A 49.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Grammys: Best Country Song Winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). I Never Lie - Zach Top leads at 28% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Good News - Shaboozey at 27%, A Song To Sing - Miranda Lambert and Chris Stapleton at 26%, Somewhere Over Laredo - Lainey Wilson at 26%.
I Never Lie - Zach Top currently leads at 28% implied probability. Behind I Never Lie - Zach Top, Good News - Shaboozey at 27% and A Song To Sing - Miranda Lambert and Chris Stapleton at 26% and Somewhere Over Laredo - Lainey Wilson at 26% are the next closest contenders. The 49.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: I Never Lie - Zach Top: 5¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Good News - Shaboozey: 3¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. A Song To Sing - Miranda Lambert and Chris Stapleton: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Somewhere Over Laredo - Lainey Wilson: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. The 49.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 28¢ means the market estimates a 28% probability that I Never Lie - Zach Top will be the outcome. Buying one share at 28¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 257% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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I Never Lie - Zach Top
27.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf A Song To Sing has won Best Country Song at the 68th Annual Grammy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
**This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Recording Academy. Any references to the Recording Academy, the GRAMMY Awards, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between the Recording Academy and Kalshi.**
