Live prediction market odds for Grammys: Best Jazz Vocal Album Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-02-01
This market resolved on 2026-02-01. Portrait - Samara Joy was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Portrait - Samara JoyWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Live at Vic's Las Vegas - Nicole Zuraitis, Dan Pugach, Tom Scott, Idan Morim, Keyon Harrold, Rachel Eckroth & Sam Weber | 2% | 50% |
Elemental - Dee Dee Bridgewater & Bill Charlap | 1% | 50% |
Fly - Michael Mayo | 1% | 50% |
Grammys: Best Jazz Vocal Album Winner was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Portrait - Samara Joy led the market at 100% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Live at Vic's Las Vegas - Nicole Zuraitis, Dan Pugach, Tom Scott, Idan Morim, Keyon Harrold, Rachel Eckroth & Sam Weber at 26%, Elemental - Dee Dee Bridgewater & Bill Charlap at 26%, Fly - Michael Mayo at 26%.
Portrait - Samara Joy held the lead at 100% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Portrait - Samara Joy, Live at Vic's Las Vegas - Nicole Zuraitis, Dan Pugach, Tom Scott, Idan Morim, Keyon Harrold, Rachel Eckroth & Sam Weber at 26% and Elemental - Dee Dee Bridgewater & Bill Charlap at 26% and Fly - Michael Mayo at 26% were the next closest contenders. The 49.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Portrait - Samara Joy: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Live at Vic's Las Vegas - Nicole Zuraitis, Dan Pugach, Tom Scott, Idan Morim, Keyon Harrold, Rachel Eckroth & Sam Weber: 2¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Elemental - Dee Dee Bridgewater & Bill Charlap: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Fly - Michael Mayo: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. The 49.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 100¢ meant the market estimated a 100% chance that Portrait - Samara Joy would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 100¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 0% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Portrait - Samara Joy
99.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Elemental has won Best Jazz Vocal Album at the 68th Annual Grammy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
**This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Recording Academy. Any references to the Recording Academy, the GRAMMY Awards, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between the Recording Academy and Kalshi.**
