Live prediction market odds for Grammys: Best Recording Package Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-02-01
This market resolved on 2026-02-01. Tracks II: The Lost Albums - Bruce Springsteen was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Tracks II: The Lost Albums - Bruce SpringsteenWINNER | 99% | 100% |
And The Adjacent Possible - OK Go | 1% | 50% |
Balloonerism - Mac Miller | 1% | 50% |
Loud Is As - Tsunami | 3% | 50% |
Sequoia - Various Artists | 3% | 50% |
Grammys: Best Recording Package Winner was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Tracks II: The Lost Albums - Bruce Springsteen led the market at 100% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include And The Adjacent Possible - OK Go at 26%, Balloonerism - Mac Miller at 26%, Loud Is As - Tsunami at 27%.
Tracks II: The Lost Albums - Bruce Springsteen held the lead at 100% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Tracks II: The Lost Albums - Bruce Springsteen, And The Adjacent Possible - OK Go at 26% and Balloonerism - Mac Miller at 26% and Loud Is As - Tsunami at 27% were the next closest contenders. The 49.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Tracks II: The Lost Albums - Bruce Springsteen: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. And The Adjacent Possible - OK Go: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Balloonerism - Mac Miller: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Loud Is As - Tsunami: 3¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. The 49.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 100¢ meant the market estimated a 100% chance that Tracks II: The Lost Albums - Bruce Springsteen would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 100¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 0% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Build a custom bot or arb alert system for the “Grammys: Best Recording Package Winner” event. All for free.
As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
Used by builders and traders in our 3K+ Discord community
Tracks II: The Lost Albums - Bruce Springsteen
99.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Balloonerism has won Best Recording Package at the 68th Annual Grammy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
