Question 1

What was "Grammys: Best Rock Song Winner" and why did it matter?

Accepted Answer

Grammys: Best Rock Song Winner was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). As Alive As You Need Me To Be - Nine Inch Nails led the market at 100% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Caramel - Sleep Token at 26%, Glum - Hayley Williams at 26%, NEVER ENOUGH - Turnstile at 26%.

Question 2

What moved the odds on "Grammys: Best Rock Song Winner"?

Accepted Answer

As Alive As You Need Me To Be - Nine Inch Nails held the lead at 100% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind As Alive As You Need Me To Be - Nine Inch Nails, Caramel - Sleep Token at 26% and Glum - Hayley Williams at 26% and NEVER ENOUGH - Turnstile at 26% were the next closest contenders. The 49.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

Question 3

What were the final odds for "Grammys: Best Rock Song Winner" across platforms?

Accepted Answer

Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: As Alive As You Need Me To Be - Nine Inch Nails: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Caramel - Sleep Token: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Glum - Hayley Williams: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. NEVER ENOUGH - Turnstile: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. The 49.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

Question 4

What did 100% odds for As Alive As You Need Me To Be - Nine Inch Nails mean?

Accepted Answer

A price of 100¢ meant the market estimated a 100% chance that As Alive As You Need Me To Be - Nine Inch Nails would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 100¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 0% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.

Candidate
As Alive As You Need Me To Be - Nine Inch NailsWINNER	99%	100%
Caramel - Sleep Token	1%	50%
Glum - Hayley Williams	1%	50%
NEVER ENOUGH - Turnstile	1%	50%
Zombie - YUNGBLUD	1%	50%

As Alive As You Need Me To Be - Nine Inch Nails Wins: Grammys: Best Rock Song Winner

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Frequently Asked Questions

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Grammys: Best Rock Song Winner