Question 1

What was "Grammys: Best Score Soundtrack for Video Games and Other Interactive Media Winner" and why did it matter?

Accepted Answer

Grammys: Best Score Soundtrack for Video Games and Other Interactive Media Winner was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Sword of the Sea - Austin Wintory led the market at 100% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Helldivers 2 - Wilbert Roget, II at 26%, Indiana Jones And The Great Circle - Gordy Haab at 26%, Star Wars Outlaws: Wild Card & A Pirate's Fortune - Cody Matthew Johnson & Wilbert Roget, II at 26%.

Question 2

What moved the odds on "Grammys: Best Score Soundtrack for Video Games and Other Interactive Media Winner"?

Accepted Answer

Sword of the Sea - Austin Wintory held the lead at 100% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Sword of the Sea - Austin Wintory, Helldivers 2 - Wilbert Roget, II at 26% and Indiana Jones And The Great Circle - Gordy Haab at 26% and Star Wars Outlaws: Wild Card & A Pirate's Fortune - Cody Matthew Johnson & Wilbert Roget, II at 26% were the next closest contenders. The 49.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

Question 3

What were the final odds for "Grammys: Best Score Soundtrack for Video Games and Other Interactive Media Winner" across platforms?

Accepted Answer

Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Sword of the Sea - Austin Wintory: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Helldivers 2 - Wilbert Roget, II: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Indiana Jones And The Great Circle - Gordy Haab: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Star Wars Outlaws: Wild Card & A Pirate's Fortune - Cody Matthew Johnson & Wilbert Roget, II: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. The 49.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

Question 4

What did 100% odds for Sword of the Sea - Austin Wintory mean?

Accepted Answer

A price of 100¢ meant the market estimated a 100% chance that Sword of the Sea - Austin Wintory would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 100¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 0% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.

Candidate
Sword of the Sea - Austin WintoryWINNER	99%	100%
Helldivers 2 - Wilbert Roget, II	1%	50%
Indiana Jones And The Great Circle - Gordy Haab	1%	50%
Star Wars Outlaws: Wild Card & A Pirate's Fortune - Cody Matthew Johnson & Wilbert Roget, II	1%	50%
Tie	1%	50%

Sword of the Sea - Austin Wintory Wins: Grammys: Best Score Soundtrack for Video Games and Other Interactive Media Winner

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Frequently Asked Questions

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Grammys: Best Score Soundtrack for Video Games and Other Interactive Media Winner