Question 1

What was "Grammys: Best Score Soundtrack For Visual Media Winner" and why did it matter?

Accepted Answer

Grammys: Best Score Soundtrack For Visual Media Winner was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Sinners - Ludwig Göransson led the market at 100% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Wicked - John Powell & Stephen Schwartz at 26%, How To Train Your Dragon - John Powell at 26%, Severance: Season 2 - Theodore Shapiro at 26%.

Question 2

What moved the odds on "Grammys: Best Score Soundtrack For Visual Media Winner"?

Accepted Answer

Sinners - Ludwig Göransson held the lead at 100% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Sinners - Ludwig Göransson, Wicked - John Powell & Stephen Schwartz at 26% and How To Train Your Dragon - John Powell at 26% and Severance: Season 2 - Theodore Shapiro at 26% were the next closest contenders. The 49.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

Question 3

What were the final odds for "Grammys: Best Score Soundtrack For Visual Media Winner" across platforms?

Accepted Answer

Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Sinners - Ludwig Göransson: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Wicked - John Powell & Stephen Schwartz: 2¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. How To Train Your Dragon - John Powell: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Severance: Season 2 - Theodore Shapiro: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. The 49.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

Question 4

What did 100% odds for Sinners - Ludwig Göransson mean?

Accepted Answer

A price of 100¢ meant the market estimated a 100% chance that Sinners - Ludwig Göransson would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 100¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 0% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.

Candidate
Sinners - Ludwig GöranssonWINNER	99%	100%
Wicked - John Powell & Stephen Schwartz	2%	50%
How To Train Your Dragon - John Powell	1%	50%
Severance: Season 2 - Theodore Shapiro	1%	50%
The Wild Robot - Kris Bowers	1%	50%

Sinners - Ludwig Göransson Wins: Grammys: Best Score Soundtrack For Visual Media Winner

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Frequently Asked Questions

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Grammys: Best Score Soundtrack For Visual Media Winner