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Live prediction market odds for Grammys: Producer Of The Year, Classical Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-02-01
This market resolved on 2026-02-01. Elaine Martone was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|
Elaine MartoneWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Blanton Alspaugh | 1% | 50% |
Morten Lindberg | 1% | 50% |
Sergei Kvitko | 7% | 50% |
Dmitriy Lipay | 2% | 50% |
Grammys: Producer Of The Year, Classical Winner was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Elaine Martone led the market at 100% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Blanton Alspaugh at 26%, Morten Lindberg at 26%, Sergei Kvitko at 29%.
Elaine Martone held the lead at 100% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Elaine Martone, Blanton Alspaugh at 26% and Morten Lindberg at 26% and Sergei Kvitko at 29% were the next closest contenders. The 49.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Elaine Martone: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Blanton Alspaugh: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Morten Lindberg: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Sergei Kvitko: 7¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. The 49.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 100¢ meant the market estimated a 100% chance that Elaine Martone would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 100¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 0% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Elaine Martone
99.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Blanton Alspaugh has won Producer Of The Year, Classical at the 68th Annual Grammy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
**This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Recording Academy. Any references to the Recording Academy, the GRAMMY Awards, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between the Recording Academy and Kalshi.**