Live prediction market odds for Grammys: Record of the Year Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-02-01
This market resolved on 2026-02-01. luther - Kendrick Lamar and SZA was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
luther - Kendrick Lamar and SZAWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Abracadabra - Lady Gaga | 1% | 50% |
Anxiety - Doechii | 1% | 50% |
APT. - Rosé and Bruno Mars |
Grammys: Record of the Year Winner was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). luther - Kendrick Lamar and SZA led the market at 100% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Abracadabra - Lady Gaga at 26%, Anxiety - Doechii at 26%, APT. - Rosé and Bruno Mars at 26%.
luther - Kendrick Lamar and SZA held the lead at 100% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind luther - Kendrick Lamar and SZA, Abracadabra - Lady Gaga at 26% and Anxiety - Doechii at 26% and APT. - Rosé and Bruno Mars at 26% were the next closest contenders. The 49.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: luther - Kendrick Lamar and SZA: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Abracadabra - Lady Gaga: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Anxiety - Doechii: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. APT. - Rosé and Bruno Mars: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. The 49.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 100¢ meant the market estimated a 100% chance that luther - Kendrick Lamar and SZA would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 100¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 0% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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luther - Kendrick Lamar and SZA
99.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf luther has won Record Of The Year at the 68th Annual Grammy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
**This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Recording Academy. Any references to the Recording Academy, the GRAMMY Awards, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between the Recording Academy and Kalshi.**
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