Live prediction market odds for GRVT FDV above ___ one day after launch?. Compare prices across Polymarket and Predict.fun.
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Polymarket / Predict.fun
2028-01-01
Predict.fun + Polymarket pair (auto-ingested via condition_id cross-ref)
$100M leads the “GRVT FDV above ___ one day after launch” event at 51.0% implied probability. Other contenders include $500M (49.5%), $50M (49.3%), $200M (48.9%), and $300M (45.0%). A 94.6% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
GRVT FDV above ___ one day after launch is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Polymarket, Predict.fun). $100M leads at 51% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include $500M at 78%, $50M at 2%, $200M at 24%.
$100M currently leads at 51% implied probability. Behind $100M, $500M at 78% and $50M at 2% and $200M at 24% are the next closest contenders. The 94.6% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Polymarket, Predict.fun: $100M: 6¢ on Polymarket. $500M: 78¢ on Polymarket. $50M: 2¢ on Polymarket. $200M: 24¢ on Polymarket. The 94.6% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 51¢ means the market estimates a 51% probability that $100M will be the outcome. Buying one share at 51¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 96% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
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$100M
51.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Predict.fun.
Predict.fun{'description': 'This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of GRVT\'s governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If GRVT (https://x.com/grvt_io) doesn\'t launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".'}
