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ARBITRAGE_ACTIVE // SPREAD: 27.5% // +$2750.00

Live prediction market odds for How high will Ethereum get in 2026?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Kalshi / Polymarket

How high will Ethereum get in 2026?

2027-01-01

About This Market

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Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking predictions on how high Ethereum will reach by 2026. This event is significant as it reflects investor sentiment and market trends in the cryptocurrency space, influenced by technological advancements and regulatory developments.

↑ 2,500 leads the “How high will Ethereum get in 2026” event at 22.8% implied probability. Other contenders include ↑ 4,000 (11.5%), ↑ 5,000 (6.5%), and ↑ 6,000 (5.0%). A 27.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
↑2
↑ 2,500ARB
23% Avg
Kalshi10¢
Polymarket45¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
9.5%9¢10¢90¢91¢
PolymarketPolymarket
36.5%28¢45¢55¢72¢
↑4
↑ 4,000
11% Avg
Kalshi12¢
Polymarket12¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
11.0%10¢12¢88¢90¢
PolymarketPolymarket
10.5%9¢12¢88¢91¢
↑5
↑ 5,000
7% Avg
Kalshi7¢
Polymarket7¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
6.5%6¢7¢93¢94¢
PolymarketPolymarket
6.5%6¢7¢93¢94¢
↑6
↑ 6,000
6% Avg
Kalshi6¢
Polymarket7¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
5.0%4¢6¢94¢96¢
PolymarketPolymarket
6.0%5¢7¢93¢95¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence Ethereum's price predictions for 2026?

Factors include market demand, technological upgrades, regulatory changes, and overall trends in the cryptocurrency market. Investor sentiment and macroeconomic conditions also play a crucial role.

How do prediction markets determine Ethereum's potential price range?

Prediction markets aggregate the opinions of participants who buy and sell shares based on their expectations of Ethereum's future price. The collective actions of these traders help establish the odds for various price thresholds.

Why is the 2026 price prediction for Ethereum relevant?

The prediction is relevant as it provides insights into long-term investor confidence in Ethereum's growth and adoption. Additionally, it can indicate broader trends in the cryptocurrency ecosystem and its potential impact on the financial landscape.

What is "How high will Ethereum get in 2026?" and why does it matter?

How high will Ethereum get in 2026 is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). ↑ 2,500 leads at 23% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include ↑ 4,000 at 12%, ↑ 5,000 at 7%, ↑ 6,000 at 5%.

What is moving the odds on "How high will Ethereum get in 2026?"?

↑ 2,500 currently leads at 23% implied probability. Behind ↑ 2,500, ↑ 4,000 at 12% and ↑ 5,000 at 7% and ↑ 6,000 at 5% are the next closest contenders. The 27.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
CF Benchmarks
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oraclebinance.com
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread27.5%
Platforms2
Candidates4

Market Rulebook: How high will Ethereum get in 2026?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the spot price of Ethereum in U.S. dollars is above 4000.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The Ethereum price is measured using the CF Ethereum Real-Time Index (ETHUSD_RTI) with a trimmed mean calculation that excludes the top 20% and bottom 20% of minute-by-minute values between market issuance and the target time. The market resolves based on whether the trimmed mean price reaches the specified level by the deadline. If no data is available at expiration, the market resolves to No. Price data from CF Benchmarks is considered authoritative and revisions after expiration do not affect market resolution.

Resolution Oracles
CF Benchmarks
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT “High” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oraclebinance.com
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Leader

↑ 2,500

22.8% avg