Live prediction market odds for How high will gas prices in California get this year?. Compare prices across Kalshi.
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Kalshi
2027-01-01
Above $6.20 leads the “How high will gas prices in California get this year” event at 60.0% implied probability. Other contenders include Above $6.40 (49.0%), Above $6.60 (42.0%), Above $6.80 (31.0%), and Above $7.20 (25.0%). Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread.
How high will gas prices in California get this year is a prediction market event currently tracked across 1 platform (Kalshi). Above $6.20 leads at 60% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Above $6.40 at 49%, Above $6.60 at 42%, Above $6.80 at 31%.
Above $6.20 currently leads at 60% implied probability. Behind Above $6.20, Above $6.40 at 49% and Above $6.60 at 42% and Above $6.80 at 31% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi: Above $6.20: 60¢ on Kalshi. Above $6.40: 49¢ on Kalshi. Above $6.60: 42¢ on Kalshi. Above $6.80: 31¢ on Kalshi. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 60¢ means the market estimates a 60% probability that Above $6.20 will be the outcome. Buying one share at 60¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 67% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Above $6.20
60.0% avg
